Publications

1681 publications found

• Policy Notes No. 3 May 12, 2022

  Chile: The Road to Joy Is Paved with Obstacles

  Giuliano Toshiro Yajima
  Abstract

  In the second round of the Chilean presidential elections, the coalition led by Gabriel Boric secured a victory under the premise of delivering long-awaited reforms to a financially volatile, structurally fragile, and deeply unequal economic structure. In this policy note, Giuliano Toshiro Yajima sheds light on these three aspects of the Chilean economy, showing that […]

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• Working Paper No. 1006 April 29, 2022

  Why the Feldstein-Horioka “Puzzle” Remains Unsolved

  Jesus Felipe, Scott Fullwiler, and Al-Habbyel Yusoph
  Abstract

  This paper argues that the 40-year-old Feldstein-Horioka “puzzle” (i.e., that in a regression of the domestic investment rate on the domestic saving rate, the estimated coefficient is significantly larger than what would be expected in a world characterized by high capital mobility) should have never been labeled as such. First, we show that the investment […]

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• Policy Notes No. 2 April 22, 2022

  A Race to the Bottom

  Nikolaos Rodousakis, Vlassis Missos, and George Soklis
  Abstract

  More than a decade after the 2009 crisis, the standards of living of the Greek population are still contracting and the prospects are gloomy. In this policy note, Vlassis Missos, Research Associate Nikolaos Rodousakis, and George Soklis deal with how to approach the measurement of income loss and poverty in Greece and argue for the […]

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• Working Paper No. 1005 April 15, 2022

  A Prototype Regional Stock-Flow Consistent Model

  Gennaro Zezza, and Francesco Zezza
  Abstract

  Starting from the seminal works of Wynne Godley (1999; Godley and Lavoie 2005, 2007a, 2007b), the literature adopting stock-flow consistent (SFC) models for two or more countries has been flourishing, showing that consistently taking into account real and financial markets of two open economies will generate different results with respect to more traditional open economy […]

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• Public Policy Brief No. 157 April 12, 2022

  Is It Time for Rate Hikes?

  L. Randall Wray, and Yeva Nersisyan
  Abstract

  Roughly two years into the economic recovery from the COVID-19 crisis, the topic of elevated inflation dominates the economic policy discourse in the United States. And the aggressive use of fiscal policy to support demand and incomes has commonly been singled out as the culprit. Equally as prevalent is the clamor for the Federal Reserve […]

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• Working Paper No. 1004 March 18, 2022

  Financial Barriers to Structural Change in Developing Economies

  Lorenzo Nalin, and Giuliano Toshiro Yajima
  Abstract

  Liabilities denominated in foreign currency have established a permanent role on emerging market firms’ balance sheets, which implies that changes in both global liquidity conditions and in the value of the currency may have a long-lasting effect for them. In order to consider the financial conditions that may encourage (discourage) structural change in a small, […]

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• Working Paper No. 1003 March 04, 2022

  What’s Causing Accelerating Inflation

  L. Randall Wray, and Yeva Nersisyan
  Abstract

  This paper examines the recent increase of the measured inflation rate to assess the degree to which the acceleration is due to problems created (largely on the supply side) by the pandemic versus pressures created on the demand side by pandemic relief. Some have attributed the inflation to excess demand, most notably Larry Summers, who […]

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• Strategic Analysis March 01, 2022

  Is Greece on the Road to Economic Recovery?

  Dimitri B. Papadimitriou, Gennaro Zezza, and Nikolaos Rodousakis
  Abstract

  In this strategic analysis, Institute President Dimitri B. Papadimitriou, Research Scholar Gennaro Zezza, and Research Associate Nikos Rodousakis analyze how the Greek economy started to recover from the shock of the COVID-19 pandemic and the prospects of continuing and sustaining its recovery. A key contribution is linked to tourism, which increased significantly in 2021, notwithstanding […]

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• Strategic Analysis March 01, 2022

  Είναι η Ελλάδα στον δρόμο της οικονομικής ανάκαμψης;

  Dimitri B. Papadimitriou, Gennaro Zezza, and Nikolaos Rodousakis
  Abstract

  Σε αυτή τη στρατηγική ανάλυση, ο Πρόεδρος του Ινστιτούτου Δημήτρης Β. Παπαδημητρίου, ο ερευνητής Gennaro Zezza και ο επιστημονικός συνεργάτης Νίκος Ροδουσάκης αναλύουν πώς η ελληνική οικονομία άρχισε να ανακάμπτει από το σοκ της πανδημίας COVID-19 και τις προοπτικές συνέχισης και διατήρησης της ανάκαμψής της. Ο βασικός παράγων είναι ο τουρισμός, ο οποίος αυξήθηκε σημαντικά […]

  Download Στρατηγικη Αναλυση, Μάρτιος 2022 PDF (653.70 KB)
• Policy Notes No. 1 February 25, 2022

  What Is Happening to the New Greek National Accounts Data?

  Dimitri B. Papadimitriou, Gennaro Zezza, and Nikolaos Rodousakis
  Abstract

  In 2020, the Hellenic Statistical Authority (ElStat) started a revision of the national accounts for Greece to bring them into line with the new European System of Accounts. Data from national accounts have gained more relevance as a crucial set of information for policy, especially in the eurozone, since many indicators—like the size of the […]

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• Policy Notes No. 1 February 25, 2022

  Τι συμβαίνει με τα νέα δεδομένα των ελληνικών Εθνικών Λογαριασμών;

  Dimitri B. Papadimitriou, Gennaro Zezza, and Nikolaos Rodousakis
  Abstract

  Tο 2020, η Ελληνική Στατιστική Αρχή (ΕΛΣΤΑΤ) ξεκίνησε την αναθεώρηση των εθνικών λογαριασμών για την Ελλάδα, προκειμένου να εναρμονιστούν με το νέο Ευρωπαϊκό Σύστημα Λογαριασμών. Τα δεδομένα από τους εθνικούς λογαριασμούς έχουν αποκτήσει μεγαλύτερη σημασία ως ένα κρίσιμο σύνολο πληροφοριών για την πολιτική, ειδικά στην ευρωζώνη, καθώς πολλοί δείκτες -όπως το μέγεθος του δημόσιου ελλείμματος […]

  Download ΣΗΜΕΙΩΜΑΤΑ ΠΟΛΙΤΙΚΗΣ No. 1 | Μάρτιος 2022 PDF (2.11 MB)
• One-Pager No. 69 February 21, 2022

  Time to Celebrate Modern Money Theory?

  L. Randall Wray, and Yeva Nersisyan
  Abstract

  A recent article in the New York Times asks whether Modern Money Theory (MMT) can declare victory after its policies were (supposedly) implemented during the response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The article suggests yes, but for the high inflation it sparked. In the view of Yeva Nersisyan and Senior Scholar L. Randall Wray, the federal […]

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• Working Paper No. 1002 February 04, 2022

  COVID-19 and Fiscal-Monetary Policy Coordination

  Lekha S. Chakraborty, and Harikrishnan S
  Abstract

  Against the backdrop of the COVID-19 pandemic, this paper analyzes the economic stimulus packages announced by the Indian national government and tries to identify some plausible fiscal and monetary policy coordination. The shrinking fiscal space due to revenue uncertainties has led to a theoretical plausibility of a reemergence of finite monetization of deficits in India. […]

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• Working Paper No. 1001 February 02, 2022

  Estimating a Time-Varying Distribution-Led Regime

  Michalis Nikiforos, and Paul Carrillo-Maldonado
  Abstract

  This paper estimates the distribution-led regime of the US economy for the period 1947–2019. We use a time varying parameter model, which allows for changes in the regime over time. To the best of our knowledge this is the first paper that has attempted to do this. This innovation is important, because there is no […]

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• Working Paper No. 999 January 18, 2022

  Structural Change, Productive Development, and Capital Flows

  Alberto Botta, Giuliano Toshiro Yajima, and Gabriel Porcile
  Abstract

  The outbreak of COVID-19 brought back to the forefront the crucial importance of structural change and productive development for economic resilience to economic shocks. Several recent contributions have already stressed the perverse relationship that may exist between productive backwardness and the intensity of the COVID-19 socioeconomic crisis. In this paper, we analyze the factors that […]

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• Working Paper No. 998 January 10, 2022

  Technology and Productivity

  Fred Block
  Abstract

  Economic analysts have used trends in total factor productivity (TFP) to evaluate the effectiveness with which economies are utilizing advances in technology. However, this measure is problematic on several different dimensions. First, the idea that it is possible to separate out the relative contribution to economic output of labor, capital, and technology requires ignoring their […]

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• Working Paper No. 997 December 22, 2021

  Identity and Well-Being in the Skilled Crafts and Trades

  Martin Binder, and Ann-Kathrin Blankenberg
  Abstract

  We analyze the extent to which occupational identity is conducive to worker well-being. Using a unique survey dataset of individuals working in the German skilled crafts and trades (2017–18, n=757), we use a novel occupational identity measure that captures identity more broadly than just referring to organizational identification and social group membership, but rather comprises […]

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• Working Paper No. 996 December 13, 2021

  Seven Replies to the Critiques of Modern Money Theory

  Abstract

  Modern Money Theory (MMT) has generated considerable scrutiny and discussions over the past decade. While it has gained some acceptance in the financial sector and among some politicians, it has come under strong criticisms from all sides of the academic spectrum and from conservative political circles. MMT has been argued to be both fascist and […]

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• Public Policy Brief No. 156 December 08, 2021

  Still Flying Blind after All These Years

  Dimitri B. Papadimitriou, and L. Randall Wray
  Abstract

  Institute President Dimitri B. Papadimitriou and Senior Scholar L. Randall Wray contend that the prevailing approach to monetary policy and inflation is influenced by a set of concepts that are a poor guide to action. In this policy brief, they examine two previous cases in which the Federal Reserve misread the data and raised rates […]

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• Policy Notes No. 4 November 10, 2021

  A Recovery for Whom?

  Nikolaos Rodousakis, Vlassis Missos, and George Soklis
  Abstract

  The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed multiple risks faced by economies whose production structures depend on the volatility of international conditions. In the case of Greece, this has manifested itself in the severe impact the pandemic has had on one of the linchpins of the Greek economy: the tourism sector. Vlassis Missos, Nikolaos Rodousakis, and George […]

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• Working Paper No. 995 November 03, 2021

  The Employer of Last Resort Scheme and the Energy Transition

  Giuliano Toshiro Yajima
  Abstract

  The health and economic crises of 2020–21 have revived the debate on fiscal policy as a major tool for stabilization and meeting long-term goals. The massive surge in unemployment, due to the economic disruption of the lockdown measures, has increased the interest in policies that target employment directly instead of trying to achieve it via […]

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• One-Pager No. 68 November 01, 2021

  Are Concerns over Growing Federal Government Debt Misplaced?

  L. Randall Wray
  Abstract

  With the US Treasury cutting checks totaling approximately $5 trillion to deal with the COVID-19 crisis, Senior Scholar L. Randall Wray argues that when it comes to the federal government, concerns about affordability and solvency can both be laid to rest. According to Wray, the question is never whether the federal government can spend more, […]

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• Working Paper No. 994 October 26, 2021

  Production Function Estimation

  Jesus Felipe, Donna Faye Bajaro, John McCombie, and Aashish Mehta
  Abstract

  The possible endogeneity of labor and capital in production functions, and the consequent bias of the estimated elasticities, has been discussed and addressed in the literature in different ways since the 1940s. This paper revisits an argument first outlined in the 1950s, which questioned production function estimations. This argument is that output, capital, and employment […]

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• Working Paper No. 993 September 03, 2021

  The Sraffian Supermultiplier and Cycles

  Michalis Nikiforos, Marcio Santetti, and Rudiger von Arnim
  Abstract

  This paper provides a theoretical and empirical reassessment of supermultiplier theory. First, we show that, as a result of the passive role it assigns to investment, the Sraffian supermultiplier (SSM) predicts that the rate of utilization leads the investment share in a dampened cycle or, equivalently,  that a convergent cyclical motion in the utilization-investment share […]

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