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Working Paper No. 1080
April 04, 2025
Protecting Social Security: The Case Against Extending the Full Retirement Age
AbstractThe Social Security “full retirement age” (FRA) is the age at which retirement income benefits are available without reduction for early commencement. Presently, that age is 67 for those born in 1960 or later. This paper is about the unfair and unnecessary threat to reduce Social Security retirement income benefits (Romig 2023) by extending the […]
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Working Paper No. 1079
April 04, 2025
Job Allocation in the Levy Institute Microsimulation Model
AbstractThe Levy Institute Microsimulation Model (LIMM) is a tool used for policy simulations to estimate ex-ante the employment and income effects of sectoral investments. In Istenes (2023), a simple implementation of the LIMM for New York State initially had difficulty producing realistic conditional distributions of allocated jobs. This paper identifies the sources of that problem, […]
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Working Paper No. 1078
April 01, 2025
“A Concentration of Private Power without Equal in History”
AbstractThis manuscript presents a detailed summary and reassessment of the 1941 final report of the Temporary National Economic Committee (TNEC). We portion the manuscript into four major parts: background, major themes, assessment of the report, and additional analysis and reflection. In the first section, we cover what compelled the government’s investigation and we identify the […]
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Strategic Analysis
March 26, 2025
Greece: Growing on an Unsustainable Path
AbstractGreece has been among the fastest growing economies among the EU member states in the post-COVID-19 period. However, in a previous (February 2024) report, Dimitri B. Papadimitriou, Nikolaos Rodousakis, Giuliano Toshiro Yajima, and Gennaro Zezza raised serious concerns regarding Greece’s dependency on imports. In their latest report, the authors argue that these problems have worsened, and the […]
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Public Policy Brief No. 158
March 04, 2025
That “Vision Thing”: Formulating a Winning Policy Agenda
AbstractFor a PDF version of this Public Policy Brief, please click here. There are many ways to lose a presidential election, and pundits have come up with a long list: President Biden hung on too long; voters still weren’t ready for a female of color—too many are racist and sexist; too many leftists supported third […]
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Working Paper No. 1077
February 11, 2025
A Critical Examination of the “China Collapse” Narrative
AbstractWestern media and academia have heralded the China collapse narrative. This paper provides a critical and balanced examination of the four challenges facing the Chinese economy—namely, deflation, debt, demographics, and de-coupling/de-risking. It argues that while deflationary pressure is present, consumer demand has been improving as the property market stabilized and policies to bolster domestic demand […]
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Working Paper No. 1076
February 07, 2025
The Rise of the Modern Monetary System
AbstractThis working paper integrates the credit money approach (associated with Post Keynesian endogenous money theory) with the state money approach (associated with Modern Money Theory) by drawing on Wray’s 1990 book (Money and Credit in Capitalist Economies: The Endogenous Money Approach, Edward Elgar), his 1998 book (Understanding Modern Money: the Key to Full Employment and […]
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Working Paper No. 1075
January 23, 2025
The High Cost of the Strong Peso and Its Temporary Nature: The Case of Mexico
AbstractThe article analyzes why exchange rate stability has been prioritized in Mexico and why the national currency has appreciated; which policies and factors have made this possible, the costs and consequences of the strong peso, and its sustainability and temporality are also examined. Mexico’s economy does not have the endogenous conditions necessary to maintain such […]
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Working Paper No. 1074
December 24, 2024
Political Conflict, Green Capabilities, and Growth Patterns in a Kaleckian Small Open Economy
AbstractThe paper presents a Kaleckian extended model exploring sustainable development, defined as growth that is economically stable, socially inclusive, and environmentally respectful. The model links CO2 emission trends with public investments in green capabilities, represented by the share of renewables in total energy supply. It incorporates three key actors: green capitalists (G), brown capitalists (B), […]
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Working Paper No. 1073
December 18, 2024
Frankenstein in Fact and Fiction
AbstractThis paper is based on remarks delivered at the EDI Keynote Lecture at Bard College, November 19th, 2024: ‘Frankenstein in Fact and Fiction.’ View a recording of the lecture on YouTube. As we all know, Frankenstein was the scientist in Mary Shelley’s 1818 novel of the same name, who invented a human machine—intended to be a […]
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Working Paper No. 1072
December 12, 2024
Macro-Financial Models of Canadian Dollar Interest Rate Swap Yields
AbstractThis paper analyzes the dynamics of Canadian dollar–denominated (CAD) interest rate swap yields. It applies autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) models, using monthly time series data, to estimate the effects of the current short-term interest rate and other relevant macro-financial variables on interest rate swap yields. It shows that the current short-term interest rate is a […]
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Working Paper No. 1071
December 10, 2024
Tilting at Windmills
AbstractOriginally issued as EDI Working Paper No. 14, May 2023 The Central Bank of the United States, the Federal Reserve, has a dual mandate to maintain both full employment and price stability. However, inflation-fighting had always eclipsed the full employment objective without much accountability. Today, the Federal Reserve provides regular testimony before Congress on how […]
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Working Paper No. 1070
December 10, 2024
Notes on Money as Technology
AbstractOriginally issued as EDI Working Paper No. 20, June 2024 Scholars and affiliates of the Levy Economics Institute have long demonstrated a granular understanding of the “operations” of money, which entails understanding the financial system’s law and technology (Grey 2019, Tymoigne 2014, Fullwiler 2010, Bell and Wray 2002-3, Bell 2000). During the dot-com bubble, many […]
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Working Paper No. 1069
December 10, 2024
Tax Credits Are Industrial Policy
AbstractOriginally issued as EDI Working Paper No. 19, March 2024 The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) is criticized for “derisking” private investment by increasing the gains to private firms. The derisking critique argues that the IRA insufficiently disciplines private firms; it does not utilize legal or financial penalties which would force firms to undertake green investment […]
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Working Paper No. 1068
December 10, 2024
Monetary Power and Vulnerability to Sovereign Debt Crises
AbstractOriginally issued as EDI Working Paper No. 17, March 2024 This paper challenges the prevailing view in the sovereign debt literature by arguing that sovereign debt markets, in many respects, behave similarly to other credit markets. These markets are hierarchical rather than flat, inherently hybrid in nature, blending elements of public order and private markets, […]
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Working Paper No. 1067
December 06, 2024
Revisiting the Foreign Debt Problem and the “External Constraint” in the Periphery
AbstractOriginally issued as EDI Working Paper No. 16, March 2024 Most debates and policy proposals about Global South countries’ external debt problem take for granted the view that it is normal for their governments to issue debts denominated in foreign currencies. This paper tries to challenge this widely held and usually unquestioned assumption by relying […]
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Working Paper No. 1066
December 06, 2024
Job Guarantee Program and the Kaleckian Dilemma
AbstractOriginally issued as EDI Working Paper No. 10, November 2023 Minsky (1965) has presented the Job Guarantee program as a recommendation in the war against unemployment and poverty. Kalecki (1943), on the other hand, argued that the full employment situation could be technically feasible but politically hard to implement due to the class struggle, resulting […]
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Working Paper No. 1065
December 06, 2024
Resource Constraints and Economic Policy
AbstractOriginally issued as EDI Working Paper No. 09, 2023 This paper explains the MMT approach for evaluating the affordability of spending programs, contrasting it with the mainstream approach. Using the examples of the Green New Deal, Medicare-for-All, and Build Back Better, it argues that rethinking spending and taxes as claims on, and releases of resources, […]
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Working Paper No. 1064
December 06, 2024
Seismic Shifts in Economic Theory and Policy from the Bernanke Doctrine to Modern Money Theory
AbstractOriginally issued as EDI Working Paper No. 08, 2022 This paper evaluates the relationship between monetary and fiscal policy and the relative effectiveness of macroeconomic stabilization through the lens of Modern Money Theory (MMT). We articulate previously-neglected aspects of monetary sovereignty to offer a new interpretation of the Bernanke Doctrine that emerged in the wake of […]
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Working Paper No. 1063
December 03, 2024
Fiscal and Monetary Policy in an SFC Model of the Italian Economy
AbstractFollowing the Great Financial Crisis of 2008–9, there has been a shift in mainstream economic policy modeling toward “realism,” with dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models partly diverging from the representative agent framework, and large-scale, New-Keynesian structural models addressing real-financial interactions in greater detail. Still, the need for tractability of the former, and the lack […]
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Working Paper No. 1062
December 03, 2024
The Value of Money
AbstractThis paper examines heterodox theories of the determinants of the value of money. Orthodox approaches that tie money’s value to relative scarcity of money or to the price level are rejected as inconsistent with the monetary theory of production embraced by heterodox traditions linked to Marx, Veblen, and Keynes. This paper examines and integrates (1) […]
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Working Paper No. 1061
November 26, 2024
Modern Money Theory on Fiscal and Monetary Policies
AbstractOriginally issued as EDI Working Paper No. 04, 2022 Drumetz and Pfister make several claims about the inadequacy and fallacies of Modern Money Theory (MMT) and conclude that MMT is nothing more than a political manifesto; there are no theoretical and empirical foundations behind it. This paper addresses this last point by focusing on the […]
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Working Paper No. 1060
November 26, 2024
The Job Guarantee
AbstractOriginally issued as EDI Working Paper No. 02, 2022 Orthodox economic theory presents the policy maker with an impossible choice: eradicate unemployment at the cost of undesirable inflation or keep prices stable by maintaining some level of involuntary unemployment. This is the canon, as embodied in the natural rate of unemployment theory and the Non-Accelerating […]
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Working Paper No. 1059
November 26, 2024
Three Lessons from Government Spending and the Post-Pandemic Recovery
AbstractOriginally issued as EDI Working Paper No. 01, 2021 The central lesson of the COVID-19 fiscal response is that money is not scarce. Without delay, governments around the world appropriated budgets that dwarfed any other postwar crisis policy. In 2020, Japan passed a stimulus package equal to 54.8 percent of GDP, while in the U.S., […]
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